BRIDGEND SURVEYS DONE BY 836 PEOPLE – these are presumably politically literate, well-educated people (high literacy levels needed to negotiate the survey). It is a good sample size. How will the actual poll compare? There are also 4 other candidates (Pirate/TUSC/NF/Ind) to further complicate things.
This is based on gut instincts rather than any canvassing, but I predict:
- Labour 32%
- Cons 24%
- UKIP 15%
- Lib Dems 13%
- PC 8%
- Greens 4%
- Others 4%
I hope I prove well off with these, with Greens saving their deposit and the collective anti-neoliberal vote (PC/Green/Pirate/TUSC) doing hugely better – but it is hard to see past Madeleine Moon continuing to show a modicum of interest in Porthcawl, ignore Bridgend town, and continuing to do as the red tory whips tell her.
And did you know that 836 people took the survey in your constituency? Here are the results for Bridgend.
Labour Green Party UKIP Liberal Democrats Conservatives Plaid Cymru
If you’re still undecided, these links might be helpful:
- Read our Top Tips for Voters
- Check which parties have candidates standing in your area
- Or why not take the survey again
Thanks again for using Vote for Policies. I hope the election brings a positive result for you.
Matt & the team
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P.S – My predictions proved to be a bit of a mixed bag. Labour’s 37% (my guess 32%) shows how entrenched the Labour instinct is around here despite having served no-one’s interests but their own for a long, long time. How the Tories managed to increase their share by 2% to 32% (24%) flabbers my gast. I take no pleasure in getting UKIP’s 15% spot on, and was only one off with PC at 7% (8%). The Lib Dems collapsed more than I, and just about everyone else, anticipated, losing their deposit into the bargain at 4.2% (13%). The Greens 2% (4%) was also a big disappointment, given the work we have done over the last 5 years, but parachuting in someone from outside did not help, and I guess I have to take some blame for this by withdrawing my own candidacy.